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	<title>Reports &#8211; Netmark Holdings</title>
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		<title>Country Codes Are Moving Domain Prices: What the Sales Data Shows for .ai, .co, .gg and .us</title>
		<link>https://netmarkholdings.com/country-code-domains-sales-prices/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[netmarkholdings]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 23:13:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Reports]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://netmarkholdings.com/country-code-domains-sales-prices/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Country-code domains (ccTLDs) now make up almost a third of reported domain sales, up from about one in eight five years ago. That is the clearest finding from&#8230;]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Country-code domains (ccTLDs) now make up almost a third of reported domain sales, up from about one in eight five years ago. That is the clearest finding from more than 28,000 reported sales in the NetMark comps database. For anyone pricing a domain name, the extension is no longer a footnote to .com. It is often the main driver of the price.</p>
<p>This report looks at four extensions where that shift shows up very differently: <strong>.ai</strong>, <strong>.co</strong>, <strong>.gg</strong> and <strong>.us</strong>. It also tests how well NetMark&#8217;s pricing model handles them.</p>
<h2>Country codes are taking a bigger share of the market</h2>
<figure class="nm-report-chart" style="margin:2em 0"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 760 390" role="img" aria-label="Country codes went from 13% to 31% of reported domain sales" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:760px;font-family:inherit" font-size="13"><rect width="760" height="390" fill="#ffffff" rx="4"/><text x="20" y="30" font-size="17" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">Country codes went from 13% to 31% of reported domain sales</text><text x="20" y="52" fill="#5b6070">Share of reported sales using a country-code extension, by two-year period</text><rect x="20" y="64" width="12" height="12" fill="#1e2330"/><text x="38" y="75" fill="#0c0c0b">Share of sales (count)</text><rect x="210" y="64" width="12" height="12" fill="#a9adb8"/><text x="228" y="75" fill="#0c0c0b">Share of sales dollars</text><text x="740" y="75" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">Dashed: 23.4% without the $70M ai.com sale</text><line x1="70" x2="730" y1="320.0" y2="320.0" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="62" y="324.0" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">0%</text><line x1="70" x2="730" y1="254.3" y2="254.3" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="62" y="258.3" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">10%</text><line x1="70" x2="730" y1="188.6" y2="188.6" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="62" y="192.6" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">20%</text><line x1="70" x2="730" y1="122.9" y2="122.9" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="62" y="126.9" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">30%</text><rect x="92.0" y="234.6" width="56" height="85.4" fill="#1e2330"><title>2019–20: 848 of 6,524 sales (13.0%)</title></rect><text x="120.0" y="228.6" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">13%</text><rect x="152.0" y="283.9" width="56" height="36.1" fill="#a9adb8"><title>2019–20: 5.5% of sales dollars</title></rect><text x="180.0" y="277.9" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">5.5%</text><text x="150.0" y="342" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2019–20</text><rect x="252.0" y="225.4" width="56" height="94.6" fill="#1e2330"><title>2021–22: 1,041 of 7,243 sales (14.4%)</title></rect><text x="280.0" y="219.4" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">14.4%</text><rect x="312.0" y="275.3" width="56" height="44.7" fill="#a9adb8"><title>2021–22: 6.8% of sales dollars</title></rect><text x="340.0" y="269.3" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">6.8%</text><text x="310.0" y="342" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2021–22</text><rect x="412.0" y="195.8" width="56" height="124.2" fill="#1e2330"><title>2023–24: 1,068 of 5,636 sales (18.9%)</title></rect><text x="440.0" y="189.8" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">18.9%</text><rect x="472.0" y="224.7" width="56" height="95.3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>2023–24: 14.5% of sales dollars</title></rect><text x="500.0" y="218.7" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">14.5%</text><text x="470.0" y="342" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2023–24</text><rect x="572.0" y="116.9" width="56" height="203.1" fill="#1e2330"><title>2025–26: 2,918 of 9,438 sales (30.9%)</title></rect><text x="600.0" y="110.9" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">30.9%</text><rect x="632.0" y="214.9" width="56" height="105.1" fill="#a9adb8"><title>2025–26: 16.0% of sales dollars</title></rect><text x="660.0" y="208.9" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">16%</text><text x="630.0" y="342" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2025–26</text><line x1="632.0" x2="688.0" y1="166.2" y2="166.2" stroke="#5b6070" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/><line x1="70" x2="730" y1="320" y2="320" stroke="#7a8094"/><text x="20" y="378" font-size="11" fill="#7a8094">Source: NetMark comps database, 28,853 DNJournal-reported sales, Jan 2019 – Oct 2026.</text></svg></figure>
<p>The count share more than doubled in five years, and the jump came after 2023. The dollar share grew faster still, from 5.5% to 16%. It would be 23.4% if not for a single sale: ai.com went for $70 million in February 2026. Even the biggest .com deal of the period was driven by artificial intelligence.</p>
<h2>.ai: from a country code to a category</h2>
<p>.ai is Anguilla&#8217;s country code, but buyers now treat it as the extension for artificial intelligence. The market changed after ChatGPT launched in late 2022.</p>
<figure class="nm-report-chart" style="margin:2em 0"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 760 400" role="img" aria-label="The median .ai sale rose from $4,500 to $55,000 while .com stayed near $3,500" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:760px;font-family:inherit" font-size="13"><rect width="760" height="400" fill="#ffffff" rx="4"/><text x="20" y="30" font-size="17" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">The median .ai sale rose from $4,500 to $55,000; .com stayed near $3,500</text><text x="20" y="52" fill="#5b6070">Median reported sale price by year (2026 = January to October)</text><line x1="80" x2="720" y1="320.0" y2="320.0" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="72" y="324.0" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">$0k</text><line x1="80" x2="720" y1="240.0" y2="240.0" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="72" y="244.0" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">$20k</text><line x1="80" x2="720" y1="160.0" y2="160.0" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="72" y="164.0" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">$40k</text><line x1="80" x2="720" y1="80.0" y2="80.0" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="72" y="84.0" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">$60k</text><line x1="390.0" x2="390.0" y1="80" y2="320" stroke="#5b6070" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/><text x="396.0" y="92" fill="#5b6070">ChatGPT launches, Nov 2022</text><path d="M80.0,306.3 L168.6,306.3 L257.1,306.0 L345.7,306.7 L434.3,307.0 L522.9,306.0 L611.4,306.0 L700.0,306.0" fill="none" stroke="#a9adb8" stroke-width="2.5"/><path d="M80.0,302.0 L168.6,302.0 L257.1,277.5 L345.7,300.0 L434.3,224.4 L522.9,180.0 L611.4,140.0 L700.0,100.0" fill="none" stroke="#c8a45a" stroke-width="3"/><circle cx="80.0" cy="306.3" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2019: median $3,426</title></circle><circle cx="80.0" cy="302.0" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2019: median $4,500 across 12 sales</title></circle><text x="80.0" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2019</text><text x="80.0" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">12 sales</text><circle cx="168.6" cy="306.3" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2020: median $3,428</title></circle><circle cx="168.6" cy="302.0" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2020: median $4,500 across 8 sales</title></circle><text x="168.6" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2020</text><text x="168.6" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">8 sales</text><circle cx="257.1" cy="306.0" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2021: median $3,499</title></circle><circle cx="257.1" cy="277.5" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2021: median $10,625 across 12 sales</title></circle><text x="257.1" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2021</text><text x="257.1" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">12 sales</text><circle cx="345.7" cy="306.7" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2022: median $3,317</title></circle><circle cx="345.7" cy="300.0" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2022: median $5,000 across 8 sales</title></circle><text x="345.7" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2022</text><text x="345.7" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">8 sales</text><circle cx="434.3" cy="307.0" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2023: median $3,250</title></circle><circle cx="434.3" cy="224.4" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2023: median $23,911 across 47 sales</title></circle><text x="434.3" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2023</text><text x="434.3" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">47 sales</text><circle cx="522.9" cy="306.0" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2024: median $3,499</title></circle><circle cx="522.9" cy="180.0" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2024: median $35,000 across 128 sales</title></circle><text x="522.9" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2024</text><text x="522.9" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">128 sales</text><circle cx="611.4" cy="306.0" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2025: median $3,500</title></circle><circle cx="611.4" cy="140.0" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2025: median $45,000 across 189 sales</title></circle><text x="611.4" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2025</text><text x="611.4" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">189 sales</text><circle cx="700.0" cy="306.0" r="3" fill="#a9adb8"><title>.com 2026: median $3,499</title></circle><circle cx="700.0" cy="100.0" r="4.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>.ai 2026: median $55,000 across 163 sales</title></circle><text x="700.0" y="340" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">2026</text><text x="700.0" y="356" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">163 sales</text><text x="80.0" y="292.0" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">$4,500</text><text x="700.0" y="90.0" text-anchor="middle" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">$55,000</text><text x="708.0" y="120.0" fill="#c8a45a" font-weight="600">.ai</text><text x="708.0" y="310.0" fill="#5b6070">.com</text><text x="20" y="390" font-size="11" fill="#7a8094">Source: NetMark comps database, DNJournal-reported .ai and .com sales, 2019 – Oct 2026.</text></svg></figure>
<p>In 2025 and 2026 alone, the database records 352 reported .ai sales worth $23.2 million. The top sales are one-word names bought by AI startups: <strong>bot.ai</strong> ($1.2M), <strong>wisdom.ai</strong> ($750K), <strong>cloud.ai</strong> ($600K), <strong>genesis.ai</strong> and <strong>lotus.ai</strong> ($400K each). Before 2023, a big .ai sale was $50,000.</p>
<p>The lesson is that a ccTLD can be repriced by a single technology wave. The price follows what the letters mean to buyers, not the country behind them.</p>
<h2>.co: the steady alternative to .com</h2>
<p>.co (Colombia) has grown more slowly, with no AI-style jump. The median reported .co sale was $10,000 in 2026, up from $7,200 in 2023. That is roughly three times the .com median of $3,500.</p>
<p>The top of the .co market keeps climbing. <strong>symphony.co</strong> sold for $180,000 in July 2026, <strong>nova.co</strong> for $160,000 in November 2025, and <strong>cv.co</strong> for $130,000 in August 2026. Short dictionary words carry the most value. Real three-letter English words on .co sold for a median of about $15,000 since 2023, with <strong>car.co</strong> at $90,000 at the top.</p>
<p>.co also shows how fragile boom-era prices can be. Its 2021 median of $11,728 fell to $5,000 a year later. Buyers who price from 2021 sales will overpay.</p>
<h2>.gg and .us: two very different stories</h2>
<p><strong>.gg</strong> (Guernsey) has been adopted by gamers, because &#8220;gg&#8221; means &#8220;good game.&#8221; Reported sales are rare but rising in value. The record in the database is <strong>x.gg</strong> at $115,000 in July 2026, followed by <strong>hype.gg</strong> ($40,000) and <strong>nano.gg</strong> ($30,000). With only six reported .gg sales in 2026, a median of $13,500 is a signal, not a benchmark.</p>
<p><strong>.us</strong> is the opposite case. It is a true national extension with no second meaning, and its prices have stayed flat. The median reported .us sale has held between $4,600 and $7,600 since 2023, and the best recent sale was <strong>power.us</strong> at $17,000. Reported .us sales fell from 13 in 2019 to one so far in 2026.</p>
<p>The contrast makes the main point. Country codes rise in price when buyers give the two letters a meaning. A country code that just means its country behaves like a regional extension.</p>
<h2>How well the pricing model reads country codes</h2>
<p>NetMark Intelligence is centered correctly on .ai and .co, but it misses rare high-end .gg sales and underprices .us. We tested its retail estimate against recent reported sales (2024–2026), pricing each name as of the day before it sold.</p>
<table class="nm-report-table">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Extension</th>
<th>Sales tested</th>
<th>Median of estimate ÷ sale price</th>
<th>Estimate within 2× of sale</th>
<th>Missed low / high</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>.co</td>
<td>30</td>
<td>0.98</td>
<td>67%</td>
<td>5 / 5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>.ai</td>
<td>30</td>
<td>0.98</td>
<td>53%</td>
<td>8 / 6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>.us</td>
<td>15</td>
<td>0.65</td>
<td>73%</td>
<td>3 / 1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>.gg</td>
<td>10</td>
<td>0.93</td>
<td>40%</td>
<td>4 / 2</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The .ai misses run in both directions, which fits a market still finding its level. The .gg misses are the standout names: x.gg sold for $115,000 against an estimate of $43,370. On .us, the model sits about a third below actual sales, so it is conservative where the market is quiet.</p>
<h2>What this means for buyers and sellers</h2>
<ul>
<li><strong>Price the meaning, not the extension.</strong> .ai and .gg gained value because the letters mean something to a buyer group. .us has no such meaning, and its prices show it.</li>
<li><strong>Use recent sales only.</strong> Sales from the 2021 boom and from before ChatGPT mislead in both directions. Comps older than three years should be treated as background.</li>
<li><strong>Compare like with like.</strong> A three-letter .co word and a six-letter .co word are different markets. Length and real-word status matter more on country codes than on .com.</li>
<li><strong>Expect wide ranges.</strong> Country-code markets have fewer sales, so one strong buyer can set a record. Treat single high sales as ceilings, not as the going rate.</li>
<li><strong>Watch the next wave.</strong> .ai shows that a ccTLD can be repriced within two years. The next extension to gain a meaning could move just as fast.</li>
</ul>
<h2>About the data</h2>
<p>Yearly medians and market shares use the 28,853 sales reported by DNJournal in the NetMark comps database, January 2019 to October 2026, so every year is measured the same way. Named sales and the three-letter .co comparison also draw on the database&#8217;s other sales feeds. Country codes are two-letter extensions plus second-level forms such as .co.uk. Medians are used instead of averages, so one record sale cannot skew a year. 2026 covers January to October. Small samples (.gg, .us) are stated where they appear. Model results come from NetMark Intelligence v6.1, a shadow model that is not used for live pricing.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1078</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Domain Value vs. Market Sale Price: What 200 Real Sales Reveal</title>
		<link>https://netmarkholdings.com/domain-value-vs-market-sale-price/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[netmarkholdings]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2026 22:30:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Reports]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://netmarkholdings.com/domain-value-vs-market-sale-price/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Ask ten domain investors what a name is worth and you will get ten numbers. Ask what it sold for and there is only one. That gap, between&#8230;]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ask ten domain investors what a name is worth and you will get ten numbers. Ask what it sold for and there is only one. That gap, between an estimated value and the price a buyer actually paid, is where most domain portfolios make or lose money.</p>
<p>To see how wide the gap really is, we took 200 domains at random from the NetMark comparable-sales database, appraised each one with a simple formula, and then checked the results against two data-driven methods built on hundreds of thousands of recorded sales. The results say a lot about how domain prices are actually set.</p>
<h2>How we tested</h2>
<p>We drew 200 sales at random from NetMark&#8217;s comparable-sales database: every name sold for at least $100 between January 2023 and October 2026, across all extensions and sales venues. Each name was then valued three ways.</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>A formula appraisal (the Math model).</strong> It scores the name on visible traits such as extension, length, hyphens, numbers and dictionary words, then maps the score to a price range. This is how most instant online appraisal tools work.</li>
<li><strong>Comparable sales.</strong> NetMark&#8217;s comps engine looks for recent sales of similar names in the same extension and category. The name&#8217;s own sale was hidden from it, so it had to price the name blind.</li>
<li><strong>The NetMark Intelligence model.</strong> A statistical model trained on about 479,000 recorded sales. It was asked for a price as of the day before each sale, using only data available then, and for the right market: end-user retail or investor auction.</li>
</ol>
<p>We compared each estimate with the real sale price. Because domain prices span from $100 to millions, we measured the error as a ratio, not in dollars: an estimate of $2,000 for a $1,000 sale is &#8220;2x high&#8221;.</p>
<h2>What the numbers showed</h2>
<p>The formula was the least reliable way to price a name: it came within 2x of the real price only 32% of the time. The median sale in the sample was $3,217.</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Method</th>
<th>Names priced</th>
<th>Within 2x of sale price</th>
<th>Typical estimate vs. price</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Formula (Math model)</td>
<td>200</td>
<td>32%</td>
<td>35% of the price</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comparable sales</td>
<td>107</td>
<td>50%</td>
<td>77% of the price</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NetMark Intelligence</td>
<td>200</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>113% of the price</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Three findings stand out.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>The formula prices names in a few fixed boxes.</strong> It gave 103 of the 200 names the same $1,000–$3,000 range. Those 103 names actually sold for anything from $105 to $600,000. The real price fell inside the formula&#8217;s range only 27% of the time.</li>
<li><strong>Extensions outside .com break the formula.</strong> For the 75 non-.com sales it was never within 2x. It valued stocks.si at $24; it sold for $25,000. The two data-driven methods handled these names about as well as .com.</li>
<li><strong>Comparable sales are only as good as the comparables.</strong> The comps engine found no trustworthy match for 88 of the 125 .com names and declined to guess. When it did match, half its estimates were within 2x.</li>
</ul>
<figure class="nm-report-chart" style="margin:2em 0">
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 760 440" role="img" aria-label="Every method overprices cheap names and underprices expensive ones" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:760px;font-family:inherit" font-size="13"><rect width="760" height="440" fill="#ffffff" rx="4"/><text x="20" y="32" font-size="17" font-weight="600" fill="#0c0c0b">Every method overprices cheap names and underprices expensive ones</text><text x="20" y="54" fill="#5b6070">Median estimate divided by actual sale price, by sale-price band (log scale)</text><circle cx="30" cy="84" r="6" fill="#a9adb8"/><text x="42" y="89" fill="#0c0c0b">Formula (Math model)</text><circle cx="255" cy="84" r="6" fill="#c8a45a"/><text x="267" y="89" fill="#0c0c0b">Comparable sales</text><circle cx="480" cy="84" r="6" fill="#1e2330"/><text x="492" y="89" fill="#0c0c0b">NetMark Intelligence</text><line x1="118" x2="730" y1="350.0" y2="350.0" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="110" y="354.0" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">1/100 of price</text><line x1="118" x2="730" y1="279.7" y2="279.7" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="110" y="283.7" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">1/10 of price</text><line x1="118" x2="730" y1="209.4" y2="209.4" stroke="#7a8094" stroke-dasharray="5 4"/><text x="110" y="213.4" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">1x = sale price</text><line x1="118" x2="730" y1="139.2" y2="139.2" stroke="#e3e1da"/><text x="110" y="143.2" text-anchor="end" fill="#5b6070">10x price</text><polyline points="158.0,156.4 291.0,220.8 424.0,231.8 557.0,276.8 690.0,328.8" fill="none" stroke="#a9adb8" stroke-width="3"/><circle cx="158.0" cy="156.4" r="5.5" fill="#a9adb8"><title>Formula (Math model), Under $1k sales: estimate = 5.68x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="291.0" cy="220.8" r="5.5" fill="#a9adb8"><title>Formula (Math model), $1k–2.5k sales: estimate = 0.69x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="424.0" cy="231.8" r="5.5" fill="#a9adb8"><title>Formula (Math model), $2.5k–5k sales: estimate = 0.48x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="557.0" cy="276.8" r="5.5" fill="#a9adb8"><title>Formula (Math model), $5k–20k sales: estimate = 0.11x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="690.0" cy="328.8" r="5.5" fill="#a9adb8"><title>Formula (Math model), $20k+ sales: estimate = 0.02x the sale price</title></circle><polyline points="158.0,195.1 291.0,202.1 424.0,214.8 557.0,248.3 690.0,257.1" fill="none" stroke="#c8a45a" stroke-width="3"/><circle cx="158.0" cy="195.1" r="5.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>Comparable sales, Under $1k sales: estimate = 1.6x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="291.0" cy="202.1" r="5.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>Comparable sales, $1k–2.5k sales: estimate = 1.27x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="424.0" cy="214.8" r="5.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>Comparable sales, $2.5k–5k sales: estimate = 0.84x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="557.0" cy="248.3" r="5.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>Comparable sales, $5k–20k sales: estimate = 0.28x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="690.0" cy="257.1" r="5.5" fill="#c8a45a"><title>Comparable sales, $20k+ sales: estimate = 0.21x the sale price</title></circle><polyline points="158.0,140.6 291.0,195.9 424.0,207.7 557.0,230.0 690.0,247.2" fill="none" stroke="#1e2330" stroke-width="3"/><circle cx="158.0" cy="140.6" r="5.5" fill="#1e2330"><title>NetMark Intelligence, Under $1k sales: estimate = 9.54x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="291.0" cy="195.9" r="5.5" fill="#1e2330"><title>NetMark Intelligence, $1k–2.5k sales: estimate = 1.56x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="424.0" cy="207.7" r="5.5" fill="#1e2330"><title>NetMark Intelligence, $2.5k–5k sales: estimate = 1.06x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="557.0" cy="230.0" r="5.5" fill="#1e2330"><title>NetMark Intelligence, $5k–20k sales: estimate = 0.51x the sale price</title></circle><circle cx="690.0" cy="247.2" r="5.5" fill="#1e2330"><title>NetMark Intelligence, $20k+ sales: estimate = 0.29x the sale price</title></circle><text x="158.0" y="374" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">Under $1k</text><text x="158.0" y="391" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">15 sales</text><text x="291.0" y="374" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">$1k–2.5k</text><text x="291.0" y="391" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">46 sales</text><text x="424.0" y="374" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">$2.5k–5k</text><text x="424.0" y="391" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">86 sales</text><text x="557.0" y="374" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">$5k–20k</text><text x="557.0" y="391" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">37 sales</text><text x="690.0" y="374" text-anchor="middle" fill="#0c0c0b">$20k+</text><text x="690.0" y="391" text-anchor="middle" fill="#5b6070">16 sales</text><text x="20" y="428" font-size="11" fill="#7a8094">Source: NetMark comps database, 200 random sales, Jan 2023 – Oct 2026. Comparable sales priced 107 of the 200.</text></svg><br />
</figure>
<p>The chart shows the most important pattern. Every method overvalued the cheapest sales and undervalued the most expensive ones. The data models were close in the middle of the market, where most sales happen: NetMark Intelligence came within 2x on 97% of the $2,500–$5,000 sales.</p>
<h2>Why value and price drift apart</h2>
<p>A domain does not have one value. It has a likely price in a given market, on a given day, to a given buyer. Four forces explain most of the gap we measured.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>The market decides the price.</strong> The same kind of name sells for very different amounts depending on where it sells. In our sample, expired-domain auctions closed at a median of $305, while end-user sales on marketplaces like Sedo and Afternic had a median of $3,550. The formula gave the expired names a typical estimate of $1,732, five times what they fetched.</li>
<li><strong>The top of the market is driven by single buyers.</strong> socrates.com sold for $600,000 and liquid.org for $300,000. No model priced either above $80,000. A six-figure sale usually means one buyer needed that exact name, and no pattern in past sales can predict that buyer.</li>
<li><strong>Surface traits miss meaning.</strong> A formula sees that win.ai and gats.io are short names on popular extensions. It cannot see that one is a common word with obvious buyers. Models built on real sales pick up demand for words, categories and extensions that a points system never captures.</li>
<li><strong>Every estimate leans toward the average.</strong> Models learn from the bulk of the market, which sits between $1,000 and $5,000. Pulled toward that middle, they overvalue the rare cheap sale and undervalue the rare expensive one. That is the pattern in the chart.</li>
</ul>
<h2>What it means for buyers and sellers</h2>
<p>Treat any single appraisal as a starting point, not a price tag. The practical lessons from these 200 sales:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Ignore formula appraisals for pricing decisions.</strong> They are fine for sorting a list, but in this test they were within 2x of the real price less than a third of the time.</li>
<li><strong>Price by market, not by name alone.</strong> Decide first whether you are selling to an end user or to investors. The same name can be worth ten times more on a marketplace listing than at an expired auction.</li>
<li><strong>Check more than one data source.</strong> Recent comparable sales and a sales-trained model together cover more names than either alone. When they disagree badly, the name deserves a closer look.</li>
<li><strong>Expect the extremes to surprise you.</strong> Below $1,000, models are often too optimistic. Above $20,000, they are almost always too low. Great names are worth testing with a higher asking price, because the buyer who needs them is not in anyone&#8217;s model.</li>
</ol>
<p>The bottom line: a domain&#8217;s value is an estimate of where the market is likely to settle. Its sale price is where one buyer and one seller actually met. Good data narrows the gap between the two, but it never closes it. That gap is where careful pricing pays off.</p>
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